He will need an army. Jailing three million immigrants won’t be easy, or cheap. here are the numbers…

According to the National Gang Center there are currently about 33,000 gangs in the US, with some 1.4 million members, or an average of 42 m3emebers per gang. a portion are currently incarcerated 80% are  US citizens. That leaves approximately 280,ooo estimated non-citizens.

For argument’s sake, using Rightwing sites like Breitbart and the so-called Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR)  the current number of Illegal immigrants in US prisons is between 13.9 and 16.9% Neither site is clear on where those numbers are derived or where they come from. The current prison population (2013 remain the best totals, according to the US Dept of Justice.) is down from a 2007 peak to about 2.3 million. using the FAIR numbers, that makes  about 360,000 illegal immigrants.

Most US prisons are at or above capacity. Alabama, for example, is 197% above capacity. Border states Texas and Arizona are 87% and 94% at capacity currently. California is 143% of capacity.

The issue is not the real problem of roughly 570,000 Illegal immigrants in gangs or in the Criminal Justice System (Overlap between gang members and incarcerated gang member) but what accounts for the additional 2.4 million people the Trump administration will incarcerate? 3 million additional prisoners represents a 130% increase in incarceration levels.

The United States Department of Homeland Security (DHS) estimates that there were 11.4 million unauthorized immigrants in the United States in January 2012. The DHS estimates that, “the number of illegal immigrants peaked around 12 million in 2007 and has gradually declined to closer to 11 million.” That number is supported by the Center for Migration Studies and Pew Research Center. 2.4 million detainees would represent 20% of all immigrants; men women and children.

In 2012, 52% were from Mexico, 15% from Central America, 12% from Asia, 6% from South America, 5% from the Caribbean, and another 5% from Europe and Canada.

The annual Federal Prison Budget, not including local and state prisons, was just under $7 billion Dollars. The cost of capturing, vetting, clearing, incarcerating and repatriating 3 million people would cost the US in law enforcement resources, repatriation fees, housing, feeding and medical care between 9 and 11 billion Dollars each month, and could last as long as a decade or more, for a conservative cost $1.32 trillion Dollars. That does not include the cost of building new facilities.

US prisons are currently overcrowded. Doubling capacity nationwide would take years and cost tens of billions more. The cost per prisoner is between $13,000 and $30,000 depending on the type of detention center

In 2015, a peak capacity DHS processed and deported about 500,000 people. there are currently 19,000 employees in the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS). Conservatively, that number would need to double, growing Federal government both in employees and in cost. USCIS’ current budget is $67 billion, which would be doubled to 137 billion Dollars, conservatively.

Finally, the cost of a wall. According to a 2009 Government Accountability Office  report, the cost to build 1 mile of fencing at the border would cost between $2.8 million and $3.9 million. That figure is based on construction of the first 220 miles of fencing. It does not include factors, such as topography, transportation logistics in hard to reach areas (i.e. road-building and earth and drainage work), labor costs, land acquisition costs and surveillance equipment.

The estimated of a 700 mile long border wall is $49 billion Dollars. All total, the cost of deporting 3 million people and building the wall could easily approach $2 trillion, which hardly sounds like a reduction in Big government and its costs


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