A war with Iran creates a significant crisis in the Persian Gulf. Not only would it put thousands of our service personnel at risk but it helps Russia’s economy. The massive spike in oil would destroy our economy but would be a windfall for Russia’s economy which is 85% dependent on oil and the price of oil. More evidence that Trump is more Russian than American
A hot war in the short term consolidates Trump’s power at home. Russia swoops in as peace broker with greater influence over an oil rich neighbor on its border with access and control of the Persian Gulf. Oil settles to $100/barrel and the Russian economy stabilizes…thus consolidating Putin’s power at home. As for the Scuds…losing American support local undermines Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s strongest partner without firing a shot, Russia consolidates the Mideast.